Outlooks on Toronto FC, MLS, and the Canadian National Teams

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

The Week That Was - October 29th

Here are the updated standings:

Toronto FC
We did our part but the necessary results did not fall our way to eliminate Montreal from the playoffs but what we did do was make them have to take the hardest path to MLS Cup and probably, with the poor form they showed against us, will not make it past the first round.

But on to what we did right.  Earnshaw made a goal-scorer’s deflection to put us up early in the game and we continued to push and could have scored 2 or 3 more if not for the framework and Troy Perkins.  Finally Bendik showed again why Stefan Frei has been able to get games making two incredible game saving stops in the 53rd and 87th minute.

But it could have been completely different if the referee had made the correct call in the Earnshaw skirmish where he hit a Montreal player in the face and should have received a red card for his actions.  This kind of officiating is one of the major roadblocks to the growth of MLS and the refs need to be called out on every bad call not just the ones that affect each supporters own team.  If we do not speak up nothing will be changed in the quality of officials in MLS.

The win was a good way to end the season but now is when the real work begins and we will see if something will finally change with this club and if this group of people in control does not change it I don’t see many people being around for when the group that does change it comes around.

Movers of the Week
The Western Conference kept the same order of the 5 playoffs teams after this weekend’s games.  But the Eastern Conference saw a lot of shake ups.  Chicago fell from 4th to 6th just outside of the playoffs, which New England took advantage of and jumped from 6th to 3rd. Houston followed suit and moved up from 5th to 4th as Montreal slipped from 3rd to 5th.  All of this movement will surely lead to some exciting playoff soccer.

Predictions
Last Week
Chivas USA @ Real Salt Lake
RSL Win
Correct RSL Win 2-1
Sporting Kansas City @ Philadelphia Union
SKC Win
Correct SKC Win 2-1
Montreal Impact @ Toronto FC
TFC Win
Correct TFC Win 1-0
FC Dallas @ San Jose Earthquakes
SJ Win
Correct SJ Win 2-1
Portland Timbers @ Chivas USA
POR Win
Correct POR Win 5-0
Houston Dynamo @ DC United
HOU Win
Correct HOU Win 2-1
New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew
NE Win
Correct NE Win 1-0
Chicago Fire @ New York Red Bulls
NY Win
Correct NY Win 5-2
Colorado Rapids @ Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN Win
Correct VAN Win 3-0
LA Galaxy @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win
Wrong Draw 1-1

Last Week’s Prediction Record
9-1
All Time Record
67-62

For a 51.94% success rate in my predictions across the season since July 23rd

Playoffs
Knockout Round
Colorado Rapids @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win

Montreal Impact @ Houston Dynamo
HOU Win


Conference Semifinals (Home & Away)
Houston Dynamo vs New York Red Bulls
NY Win

New England Revolution vs Sporting Kansas City
SKC Win

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
POR Win

LA Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake
LA Win


Conference Finals (Home & Away)
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
SKC Win

Portland Timbers vs LA Galaxy
POR Win


MLS Cup Final

Portland Timbers @ Sporting Kansas City
POR Win

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

The Week That Was - October 22nd

Here are the updated standings:

Toronto FC
What an amazing save, that is why Stefan Frei has been one of my favourite Toronto FC players and it was good to see him play what was probably his last game with the team.  But other than that the game was just infuriating we had barely any attacking prowess and the referee lost the game for us.  What should have been a nil-nil draw turned into an example of the horrible officiating calls that go on in MLS.  First a hand ball call outside the penalty area that was suspect and Toronto players were arguing with the ref over, but no good camera view showed what actually happened.

But on the ensuing free kick Mike Magee lines up a shot and as it travels around the wall it hits Jonathan Osorio’s upper arm which is right against his body and he has turned sideways to shield his face.  With hand ball calls one of the first things that goes through a ref’s mind is if it was ball to hand or hand to ball, this was a clear example of the ball travelling and hit the players hand/arm and the said player having no time to move it out of the way.  Furthermore the next step that I would take as a ref would be to imagine if their hand/arm had been in a different spot would the ball still have been blocked by a different part of their body such as when a player has their arm against their chest, the handball did not give an unfair advantage to the defending team so I would not call a penalty.  As you can see in the highlights of the match around the 4:00 minute mark Osorio’s arm is tight to his body as he turns and the ball hits his upper arm/shoulder area if he had for some reason had his arm raised it would have hit him in the under arm which would not have led to a penalty kick and game winning goal. So in my opinion if MLS is to be one of the top soccer leagues by 2020 calls like this need to be eliminated and the overall quality of refereeing needs to increase.

Movers of the Week
In the west, Portland, Salt Lake, Los Angeles, and Seattle all clinched playoff spots this past week.  And the fifth spot is all but wrapped up by Colorado who would have to lose 6-0 and San Jose would have to win 12-0 to swap places.  Vancouver was eliminated from playoff contention after a hard fought 3-2 loss and probably sealed the release of Martin Rennie as coach.  While in the east no new teams clinch a playoff spot but Columbus was officially eliminated.  But Chicago had the biggest rise getting 4 points closer to clinching a playoff spot through a win and the highest max total points of a non-playoff team dropping by 1.  Philadelphia had the biggest drop of 5 points through a loss and 5th place points total increasing by 2.

Predictions
Last Week
Montreal Impact @ LA Galaxy
LA Win
Correct LA Win 1-0
DC United @ Sporting Kansas City
SKC Win
Correct SKC Win 1-0
Philadelphia Union @ Montreal Impact
Draw
Wrong MTL Win 2-1
Seattle Sounders @ FC Dallas
SEA Win
Wrong FCD Win 2-0
Vancouver Whitecaps @ Colorado Rapids
COL Win
Correct COL Win 3-2
Columbus Crew @ New England Revolution
NE Win
Correct NE Win 3-2
Toronto FC @ Chicago Fire
CHI Win
Correct CHI Win 1-0
Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers
POR Win
Wrong Draw 0-0
New York Red Bulls @ Houston Dynamo
NY Win
Correct NY Win 3-0
San Jose Earthquakes @ LA Galaxy
LA Win
Wrong Draw 0-0

Last Week’s Prediction Record
6-4
All Time Record
58-61

This Week

Chivas USA @ Real Salt Lake
RSL Win

Sporting Kansas City @ Philadelphia Union
SKC Win

Montreal Impact @ Toronto FC
TFC Win

FC Dallas @ San Jose Earthquakes
SJ Win

Portland Timbers @ Chivas USA
POR Win

Houston Dynamo @ DC United
HOU Win

New England Revolution @ Columbus Crew
NE Win

Chicago Fire @ New York Red Bulls
NY Win

Colorado Rapids @ Vancouver Whitecaps
VAN Win

LA Galaxy @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

The Week That Was - October 15th

Here are the updated standings:

Toronto FC
Toronto did not play this week but after the other games this week Toronto’s final two games have greatly increased in significance.  Chicago has had a string of good results over the last few weeks and has made their way into a playoff position.  But all of that could be for not if Toronto is able to put together a good effort and get a result playing spoiler.  But for me the more exciting option is to play spoiler against Montreal in the last game of both team’s season at BMO Field.  Before that can be an option though, Montreal plays LA on the road and Philadelphia at home.  With Montreal’s poor road form and possibly keeping players at home for the Philly game they will probably lose to LA and dependent on the result of Montreal vs. Philadelphia, the Toronto game could be the make or break game for Montreal.  Although this season has been horrible for Toronto if we could be the team to eliminate Montreal from playoff contention that would be the icing on the pile of dog shit cake called the 2013 Toronto FC Season.

Movers of the Week
Sporting Kansas City has joined New York Red Bulls in clinching a playoff spot, while FC Dallas was eliminated from playoff contention this week.  For the rest of the field there was not much movement.  In the west, Portland was the biggest and only mover with a win, getting them 3 points closer to clinching a playoff spot, now only 1 point away from clinching.  While Vancouver and San Jose, the two teams still in playoff contention below the red line, held course by both winning and not getting any closer to elimination.  In the east, Houston was the biggest mover getting 1 point closer to clinching a playoff spot.  While New England and Columbus both lost 1 point through the 5th place team points total increasing by 1.

Predictions
Last Week
Sporting Kansas City @ Houston Dynamo
SKC Win
Wrong Draw 0-0
Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win
Wrong VAN Win 4-1
Colorado Rapids @ San Jose Earthquakes
COL Win
Wrong SJ Win 1-0
New England Revolution @ Montreal Impact
MTL Win
Wrong NE Win 1-0
Philadelphia Union @ DC United
PHI Win
Wrong Draw 1-1
Chicago Fire @ FC Dallas
Draw
Wrong CHI Win 3-2
Seattle Sounders @ Portland Timbers
POR Win
Correct POR Win 1-0

Last Week’s Prediction Record
1-6
All Time Record
52-57

This Week

Montreal Impact @ LA Galaxy
LA Win

DC United @ Sporting Kansas City
SKC Win

Philadelphia Union @ Montreal Impact
Draw

Seattle Sounders @ FC Dallas
SEA Win

Vancouver Whitecaps @ Colorado Rapids
COL Win

Columbus Crew @ New England Revolution
NE Win

Toronto FC @ Chicago Fire
CHI Win

Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers
POR Win

New York Red Bulls @ Houston Dynamo
NY Win

San Jose Earthquakes @ LA Galaxy
LA Win

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

The Week That Was - October 8th

Here are the updated standings:

Toronto FC
Didn’t watch but I bet I can tell you what happened.  The game starts out pretty even until half way thru the second half when Toronto has a string of chances that should have been buried and put the game to bed, but they cannot finish. Philadelphia comes back in the last few minutes to score the winning goal after a stupid decision by one of our inexperienced defenders.  Let me check. Yep, I was right.

Movers of the Week
We have our first team clinching a playoff spot, New York Red Bulls.  In the west, LA and Colorado made the biggest jump, to join New York in the playoffs, both getting 3 points closer to clinching.  While Vancouver and Dallas both dropped 5 points closer to getting eliminated through each drawing separate games and the 5th place team’s points moving up by 3.  Kansas City, Houston, and Philadelphia all tied in the east each getting 4 points closer to clinching through each winning their respective game and the highest max point total of a non-playoff team dropping by 1.  My prediction of which team will break into the playoffs in the last few games became much harder of coming true after Columbus had the biggest drop getting 6 points closer to being eliminated through a loss and 5th place points going up by 3.

Every team is now a part of the under 10 club but Columbus and Dallas are the closest, 3 points, to being eliminate from playoff contention.

Predictions
Last Week
Chicago Fire @ DC United
CHI Win
Correct CHI Win 3-0
Montreal Impact @ Houston Dynamo
Draw
Wrong HOU Win 1-0
New England Revolution @ New York Red Bulls
NY Win
Wrong Draw 2-2
Sporting Kansas City @ Columbus Crew
Draw
Wrong SKC Win 1-0
Toronto FC @ Philadelphia Union
PHI Win
Correct PHI Win 1-0
FC Dallas @ Real Salt Lake
RSL Win
Wrong Draw 1-1
Seattle Sounders @ Colorado Rapids
COL Win
Correct COL Win 5-1
Chivas USA @ LA Galaxy
LA Win
Correct LA Win 5-0
Portland Timbers @ Vancouver Whitecaps
Van Win
Wrong Draw 2-2

Last Week’s Prediction Record
4-5
All Time Record
51-51

This Week

Sporting Kansas City @ Houston Dynamo
SKC Win

Vancouver Whitecaps @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win

Colorado Rapids @ San Jose Earthquakes
COL Win

New England Revolution @ Montreal Impact
MTL Win

Philadelphia Union @ DC United
PHI Win

Chicago Fire @ FC Dallas
Draw

Seattle Sounders @ Portland Timbers
POR Win

Tuesday, October 1, 2013

The Week That Was - October 1st

Here are the updated standings:

Toronto FC
We Won! 4-1!! Against DC United, oh.  Against DC United’s B/C squad, ohh. Bright Dike scored his first, Alvaro Rey scored his first and created an own goal, and Darel Russell had an incredible turning volley goal that is up for Goal of the Week honours.    But against any other team this game would have been completely different.  DC was resting their squad for a game later tonight in the US Open Cup where if they win they will not only win hardware and a spot in the 2014-2015 CONCACAF Champions League but they will pull as I like to call it a “Toronto” where even though you are in last place in your league you are a part of the “Champions” League.  Really though with the defensive lineup put out there of Morgan, Agbossoumonde, Henry, and Bloom any team could rip us to shreds.  So let’s enjoy the win and see it for what it was a meaningless game that is one step, winning games you are supposed to win, of the thousands of steps needed to turn this club around. 

Movers of the Week
Both Portland and Seattle got 6 points closer to clinching a playoff spot in the West through winning their respective games this week while Vancouver gave them the other three points through their loss.  While Vancouver and FC Dallas both got 3 points closer to being eliminated from the playoffs through their losses.  While in the East a rather inactive week occurred with New York, Montreal, and Houston all getting 2 points closer to clinching through draws gaining them 1 point and the highest max points of a non-playoff team dropping by 1.  Chicago was the biggest loser in the East with a draw dropping 2 points and then the 5th place points total moved up 2 for a total of 4 points closer to elimination.

It really is getting close with all teams in the bottom of half of the west being less than 10 points away from being eliminated.  In the East though it is much more likely for one of the currently non-playoff teams to fight their way into the playoffs my money is on Columbus to beat out Philly for that last playoff spot in the East.

Predictions
Last Week
Philadelphia Union @ Sporting Kansas City
SKC Win
Wrong PHI Win 1-0
DC United @ Toronto FC
TFC Win
Correct TFC Win 4-1
Real Salt Lake @ Vancouver Whitecaps
Van Win
Wrong RSL Win 1-0
Houston Dynamo @ New England Revolution
Draw
Correct Draw 1-1
Montreal Impact @ Chicago Fire
MTL Win
Wrong Draw 2-2
LA Galaxy @ Portland Timbers
POR Win
Correct POR Win 1-0
Columbus Crew @ FC Dallas
CLB Win
Correct CLB Win 4-2
New York Red Bulls @ Seattle Sounders
SEA Win
Wrong Draw 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes @ Chivas USA
SJ Win
Correct SJ Win 1-0

Last Week’s Prediction Record
5-4
All Time Record
47-46

This Week

Chicago Fire @ DC United
CHI Win

Montreal Impact @ Houston Dynamo
Draw

New England Revolution @ New York Red Bulls
NY Win

Sporting Kansas City @ Columbus Crew
Draw

Toronto FC @ Philadelphia Union
PHI Win

FC Dallas @ Real Salt Lake
RSL Win

Seattle Sounders @ Colorado Rapids
COL Win

Chivas USA @ LA Galaxy
LA Win

Portland Timbers @ Vancouver Whitecaps
Van Win